Forecast Profile

Demand Planners specify relevant parameters in the Forecast Profile. Forecast Profile is associated with a specific Enterprise / Model combination. Forecast Profile needs to be specified at the time of running a specific Process Step.

Demand Planners / Demand Analysts can specify the following information within the Demand Profile:

Profile Overview Section:

  • Profile Name

  • Profile Type

  • Enterprise Name

  • Model Name

General Parameters:

  • Periodicity

  • Frequency

  • Historical Horizon

  • Forecast Horizon

  • Base History Measure

  • Corrected History Measure

Forecast Error Parameters:

  • Error KPI

  • Bias KPI

  • Weight

  • Moving average Error Horizon

Naive Forecast Measures:

  • Naive Forecast Measure

  • Naive Forecast Error Measure

  • Naive Forecast Bias Measure

  • Naive Forecast Moving Average Error Measure

  • Naive Forecast Moving Average Bias Measure

Optimal Forecast Measures:

  • Optimal Forecast Measure

  • Optimal Forecast Error Measure

  • Optimal Forecast Moving Average Error Measure

  • Optimal Forecast Moving Average Relative Error Measure

  • Optimal Forecast Moving Average Error FVA Measure

  • Optimal Forecast Bias Measure

  • Optimal Forecast Moving Average Bias Measure

  • Optimal Forecast Moving Average Relative Bias Measure

  • Optimal Forecast Moving Average Bias FVA Measure

Human Forecast Measures:

Specify any number of Human Forecast Measures to be taken into account while developing Optimal Forecast.

For example:

  • Prior Cycle Customer Forecast Measure

  • Prior Cycle Sales Forecast Measure

  • Prior Cycle Marketing Forecast Measure

  • Prior Cycle Demand Planner Forecast Measure

  • Prior Cycle Consensus Forecast Measure

Driver Based Forecasting Input Measures:

Specify any number of Forecast Driver Measures to be used to develop the Driver-Based Forecasting Model. These can be regular measures or categorical variables (e.g., type of promotion)

For example:

  • Consumer Price Measure

  • Consumer Promotion Measure

  • Merchandising Displays Measure

  • Point of Sales (POS) History Measure

  • Retailer Store Inventory Measure

  • Retailer Distribution Center Inventory Measure

  • Trade Promotion Measure

  • Consumer sentiment Measure

  • Google Trends Measure

  • Supply Disruption Measure

  • Weather

  • Events

Driver Based Forecasting Output Measures:

  • Driver Based AI Forecast Measure

  • Baseline Demand Measure

  • Driver Based Forecast Error Measure

  • Driver Based Forecast Moving Average Error Measure

  • Driver Based Forecast Moving Average Relative Error Measure

  • Driver Based Forecast Moving Average Error FVA Measure

  • Driver Based Forecast Bias Measure

  • Driver Based Forecast Moving Average Bias Measure

  • Driver Based Forecast Moving Average Relative Bias Measure

  • Driver Based Forecast Moving Average Bias FVA Measure

Forecastability Bands:

  • Moving Average Error Upper Bound Measure

  • Moving Average Error Lower Bound Measure

  • Moving Average Bias Upper Bound Measure

  • Moving Average Bias Lower Bound Measure

  • Moving Average Relative Error Upper Bound Measure

  • Moving Average Relative Error Lower Bound Measure

  • Moving Average Relative Bias Upper Bound Measure

  • Moving Average Relative Bias Lower Bound Measure

Administrative Info:

  • Notes

  • Created On

  • Created By

  • Changed On

  • Changed By

Next
Next

Advanced Forecast Models